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May 24, 2005
Squeeze Play
Bill Roggio at Winds of Change has an excellent roundup on the results of Operation Squeeze Play, which was a primarily-Iraqi series of raids over the past few days on enemy personnel and sites in the vicinity of Baghdad.
The most important information (in terms of indicating the direction the war is going) is that the enemy had been infiltrated, and was completely surprised by the operation (indicating that the Iraqi forces weren't infiltrated). This means that the Iraqis are winning the intelligence/counter-intelligence battle, which is the key of defeating the mixed insurgency/guerilla/terrorist campaign we see in Iraq.
Combined with the increased freedom of action coalition troops have, which has allowed them recently to start going into known insurgent areas like Fallujah and along the Syrian border, indications are that Iraq is nearing a tipping point, after which the insurgency will lose cohesion rapidly. I would expect to see this, barring any unforeseen changes in the world situation, within the next year.
UPDATE: Michael Ubaldi comes to a similar conclusion.
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