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July 24, 2004

Credibility, Character, Cause

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I stopped reading Andrew Sullivan a long time ago, when it became apparent that his reasoning skills were utterly subject to his emotional state on pet issues, so I only heard of Sullivan's endorsement of Kerry second-hand. From Stephen Green's fisking of Sullivan's post, it would appear that Sullivan has fallen into the Leftist meme of "no justification other than WMDs", and it is that which interests me.

There are three good reasons for for one nation to invade and occupy another: legal requirements, moral requirements, and self-preservation. Alternately, these can be stated as credibility, character and cause, for reasons I'll explore below. All three just causes of action were present in Iraq. (Actually, these causes go further, and also apply in cases of individuals doing violence upon one another.)

Legal requirements normally arise out of treaties, especially mutual-defense pacts. If a country has an ally which is attacked, there is generally a legal requirement to go to the aid of the ally. But there are other such cases, and the UN is a fine example. There is international agreement that the Security Council's decisions are binding, and as a member of the UN we are obligated to uphold those decisions.

In any case, legal requirements normally boil down to credibility: if you say that you will do some thing in a given case, you either do it or are held in contempt. France, Spain and the Philippines, to give some current examples, are basically held in contempt by their opponents, and the UN is also widely held in contempt. Without credibility, you cannot use threats to avoid the need for action, and thus future wars become much more likely for nations which bluster but do not act.

Iraq was in violation of a huge number of Security Council resolutions, and the fact that many of the nations that make up the Security Council were prepared to be held in contempt, and to have the UN held in contempt, does not obviate our obligation to act. Given that obligation, and President Bush's desire that the US not be held in contempt, we had a legal cause of action. And, in fact, this is part of the case that the President made, repeatedly, for taking on Iraq. The WMD case was a part of the legal case: it showed that Iraq had violated UN agreements and resolutions they were bound to uphold. Given that many people in the US and abroad have abandoned the moral case for war, and do not care if the US defends itself or not (frequently, they would prefer not), this is the argument which got the most emphasis.

Moral requirements for action arise out of classical liberalism: all people and nations have an obligation, within the extent of their capacity to do so, to help those less fortunate and more in despair than themselves. (There are religious foundations for this view, as well, which is why I believe that the militantly atheistic Left despises any moral structures not built on selfishness: such structures would tend to validate the religions most despised by atheists.) In State terms, a nation has a requirement to act to preserve or restore or create conditions of liberty and representative government in other nations. "Old Europe" has largely abandoned morality in world affairs, and most parts of the world never had it, but it is still a driving force in the US (and has become so in many other first-world nations which, oddly enough, map closely onto the "coalition of the willing" on Iraq).

In other words, this is a character issue: are you big enough to do the right thing even if it doesn't benefit you, and even though you bear the cost in blood and treasure? Would you turn away from Kitty Genovese, or would you step in to stop the attack? Would you overthrow a tyrant who is murdering his people, or let him go on as long as he hands out oil concessions to Total-Fina-Elf? The problem with throwing away morality as a cause of action is that you also have to throw out with it your humanity and empathy: to rid yourself of moral indignation requires becoming sociopathic (France) or opportunistic (the Democrats since at least 1972, and likely since 1964).

In Iraq, the moral reasons for toppling Saddam Hussein were tied to his oppression and tyranny at home, and his repeated invasions of neighboring countries. When people claim that no defensible case was made for war, they generally mean no moral case was made for war. Of course, that's not true: the President did make such a case. The fact that the press by and large ignored it for the easier-to-cover WMD allegations and legalisms does not remove the case. The problem we as a nation have to face is that a large part of our polity no longer believes in the possibility of a moral case for war. Without that, the entire idea of America is in some jeopardy.

The final just reason for undertaking an offensive war is self-preservation. If you know or strongly suspect that someone who has pledged to destroy you is in fact acquiring the means to do so, you can justifiably act to stop them. Self-defense does not require you to absorb the blow first. If you are not prepared to take aggressive action in your own defense, you will eventually be destroyed unless some benevolent outside power chooses to protect you. There is no power to protect the US in international affairs; the UN (frequently nominated for the role) is a debating society, not a reliable means of stopping unjust wars. Self-defense basically comes down to cause: do you have a reasonable cause to attack another nation, on the grounds that failing to do so will result in being attacked yourself?

For example, in 1967 the Israelis, who had been fighting a low-level war of cross-border artillery duels with their neighbors for years, became aware that those neighbors intended to attack Israel. Rather than absorb the blow, Israel acted first, and in six days destroyed the armed forces of all of its neighbors, absorbed some of their territory, and in the process set up the current template for the Middle East.

This was the least-made case for Iraq (see above about WMDs being a legal justification, not a self-defense justification), but also the most important. When it was made, it was usually in the context of "draining the swamp". In essence, because we had a legal and moral justification for taking out Iraq, and because we had forces available to do so, we were able to achieve a long-term defense against Islamist terrorism: provide Arab Muslims with an alternative to their generally-miserable lot in life, by creating a culture of dynamism, representative self-government, prosperity and hope where before were stagnation, tyranny, destitution and despair.

This is a long-term project, decades-long most likely, and it will be far from easy to ensure. Yet it is necessary, if we are to eliminate jihadis as a viable political and terrorist force. Iraq is an example, but other tyrannies will need to be brought down for the same reason (notably, Iran, Syria and Saudi Arabia). Those will also be long-term projects.

Sullivan would be a lot more credible if he considered such factors as more important than marginal issues.


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July 23, 2004

Surge

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Michael King notes an unprecedented test of naval deployment capability planned for the next few weeks: seven of our twelve carriers will deploy at one time to the South China Sea. This is more carriers than have been used at one time in any American war since the Korean War. Put in perspective, that is in the neighborhood of 350 aircraft - more combat-ready aircraft than any but a handful of the world's air forces can deploy - and seven mobile bases for them.

I think we are trying to make a point - either to China or North Korea (or both).


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This will cause the Chinese to try even harder to ramp up their anti-carrier capability.
The Chinese will use nuclear weapons against the carriers, if they feel threatened enough.
When the time comes for them to invade Taiwan, they won't let anything stop them.
Look for lots of Chinese money going to the Kerry campaign.

Posted by: Frank on July 2, 2004 01:56 PM
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A Most Uncivil Spat

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Economics, when you boil it down to its essence, is about the allocation of scare resources. Politics, similarly, is at its heart about the gathering of support for one's faction (which, incidentally, is why the Founding Fathers were doomed in their attempts to create an Athenian political model - and for that matter why the Athenians were doomed in the end). In other words, politics is operable in any set of people where power (whether direct or because of reputation) is at stake, not just when dealing with government. ("Office politics" is not an analogy, but a statement of fact.)

It's also a fact that those with no skin in the game often cannot understand why certain disputes break out, and how they come to diverge from their apparent original point with such ferocity - sometimes to the point that the original positions end up reversed! Hint: it's about power, either direct power (such as the government has) or reputation (in most private spheres) or even perks (such as in large corporations). It's also sad to see factional struggles break out in a group to which you are much attached.

I'm not going to comment on the specifics of the dispute between AJ Drew and Ray Buckland, for three reasons: I don't know enough about it, I don't know enough about AJ Drew in general, and I owe a great deal to Ray Buckland (whose big blue book was the first book on Wicca I read, and whose later writings were very influential on my religious development). I do want to say one thing though: it's pretty crass for one to take out a domain name with the other's name just to criticize the other. Not quite up to Godwin's law standards, but certainly most uncool.

And, so far as I can tell, someone needs to remind these guys of the rule of threes.


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I prefer to call politics the practice of overriding economic decision making by force and intimidation, but you have the essence of it.

Posted by: Francis W. Porretto on July 3, 2004 05:28 AM
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Oh, No No No

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I'm in the middle of The Wine-Dark Sea (book XVI of the Aubrey-Maturin series by Patrick O'Brian. I will finish all 20 books in the series. We have A Sea of Words - Dean King's backgrounder on Napoleonic naval warfare, British sailor slang and the Royal Navy of the time. And now this? Did I mention I don't have any time?


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July 22, 2004

A New Birth of Freedom

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July 3, 1863 was the last day of the battle of Gettysburg. On one side were forces dedicated to the proposition that a body politic should be able to decide its morality and policies for itself, without the interference of those who do not directly represent it; on the other side were forces dedicated to the proposition that all men were created equal. Some 48,000 men were made casualties in the defense of these two noble ideals. In November of that year, President Lincoln gave the Gettysburg Address, at the consecration of a cemetary for the dead from that battle:

Fourscore and seven years ago our fathers brought forth on this continent a new nation, conceived in liberty and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal.

Now we are engaged in a great civil war, testing whether that nation or any nation so conceived and so dedicated can long endure. We are met on a great battlefield of that war. We have come to dedicate a portion of it as a final resting place for those who died here that the nation might live. This we may, in all propriety do. But in a larger sense, we cannot dedicate, we cannot consecrate, we cannot hallow this ground. The brave men, living and dead who struggled here have hallowed it far above our poor power to add or detract. The world will little note nor long remember what we say here, but it can never forget what they did here.

It is rather for us the living, we here be dedicated to the great task remaining before us--that from these honored dead we take increased devotion to that cause for which they here gave the last full measure of devotion--that we here highly resolve that these dead shall not have died in vain, that this nation shall have a new birth of freedom, and that government of the people, by the people, for the people shall not perish from the earth.


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Reading that to the kids is our Memorial Day ritual.

Posted by: Karl Gallagher on July 3, 2004 11:42 PM
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The Noble Pundit

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The Noble Pundit is former stockbroker Chris Noble's blog. There is so much excellent content on The Noble Pundit that it's hard to know where to start. To make things easy on myself, I'm only going to post excerpts of items posted between Monday June 2 and today, with the exception of the investing series.

The investing series has 8 parts (so far), covering Fundamental Analysis (picking good investment choices), an addendum to the Fundamental Analysis post, Technical Analysis (deciding when to enter or exit a position), Options, The Economy and the Market, Market Mechanics, Mutual Funds, Asset Allocation, and Bonds. These eight posts have clarified a few concepts I was unclear on, and have simplified my understanding of some other points. I cannot recommend enough that you read the whole series.

Post since Monday include (and this is not an exhaustive list):

Aww. The Palestinians Are Disappointed, which discusses Palestinian reactions to the recent "roadmap" summit.

Something Postive & French???, which provides a link to this Sabine Herold editorial on freedom as a human - rather than a specifically Western - concept. (It's short, but worth reading, and has some real gems in it.)

Media Arrogance Or Military Failure? looks at journalistic navel gazing about the incident during the recent war where a US tank fired on the Palestine Hotel in Baghdad.

Oh, I Feel Much Safer Now looks at Russian involvement in the Iranian nuclear program, and includes this gem: "Giving Tehran a nuclear capability is like giving a drug addict free access to the police evidence rooms. Pretty soon all his friends will be there, everything will be gone and the neighborhood will be a more dangerous place.

Two People In Two States? looks for the source of the Palestinian fantasy that Israel is the source of all Palestinian problems, while the Palestinians themselves are pure and noble. (HINT: It's the guy that tells kids to blow themselves up.)

OK, I haven't even finished through yesterday yet. Go, read.

UPDATE (7/20/2004): How odd. I deleted some comment spam from this and closed comments, and MT nicely changed the post date to today. I don't know the original date, so it'll just stay out of sequence, then.


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"Innovations" in Voting

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Electronically-tallied voting is very, very useful, because it's quite fast. Texas used to have a near-ideal system: a paper ballot was marked by drawing straight lines to complete arrows, and an optical scanner read down the center of the arrows, synchronized to the location on the page by markings along the edges. It was fast, it was accurate, and it preserved a paper record of each vote.

Most recent voting "innovations" have been pretty bad, though. I include in the list of "bad" - for our Republic - innovations: direct election of pretty much every officer of government, motor voter laws, letting felons vote, letting non-citizens vote, letting people with no other vested stake in society (property, dependent children, corporate ownership, prior service or what have you) vote, not checking IDs against rolls at the polling places, "simplified" absentee balloting (no proof of identity required), lowered voting ages, federal funding of campaigns, campaign finance restrictions, ballot access restrictions and increased regulations allowing technicalities to disqualify legally-cast votes.

All of these fall into one of three categories: they reduce choice in candidates, give people a vote where they will suffer little ill effect if they vote badly, and/or increase fraud/reducing reliability. The current generation of computerized voting machines falls into the latter category, and the first lawsuit attempting to demonstrate this has been filed. (And with the evidence so far, it's looking like November and December, 2004 are going to be every bit as interesting as November and December, 2000.)


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China and the Gap

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Zenpundit has an insightful article on China's role in the world and its possible future. Since I lived in Taiwan when I was young (and was born in Okinawa), the region holds great interest for me. Indeed, I've written about this subject before. I think that Mark underestimates one factor (which I've also written about before): the corrosive impact of private property upon tyranny.

A necessary, but insufficient, condition of Liberty is the ownership of private property. If you cannot own property and dispose of it as you like, then you are unable to ever attain independence from others (the State, your boss or your lord or what have you). Without the independence to choose what you will do, without the possibility of your actions causing offense which offense in turn causes you to lose your livelihood, you are not free. You are not free, because you must constantly tailor your actions to not offend those who have power over you, by dint of being able to deprive you of your livelihood. And of course, once a person has that kind of power over you, it becomes terribly easy to offend them, because they don't have any incentive to not be offended, and every incentive (human nature being what it is) to exercise that power.

However, the mere ownership of property is not sufficient to Liberty. In order to be at liberty to do what you will, you have to be able to dispose of property as you will. That is, you need to be able to acquire, sell or give away, allow to lapse or in any other way manipulate your property. Otherwise, you are at the mercy of those who regulate the way in which your property can be used. They have the power to deprive you of your livelihood by depriving you of the ability to obtain wealth from your property. (Note: in a very real sense, your time is your property as well, and the labor you invest in can create wealth just as the improvement of land can.) Even barely-intrusive regulation has a chilling effect on Liberty, and the more intrusive the regulation the greater the effect.

From these simple observations arises the concept of the free market. A free market is one in which a person may take posession of (and in some cases create) property, use it, give it away, sell it or in any other way dispose of it, and in which no outside entity interferes as long as the transactions are between private individuals. The closer to this ideal a market is, the freer it is. The US once had an almost entirely free market domestically. This is no longer the case, but our market is still relatively free, even compared to Europe or Japan (which are much more regulated, but still freer than most of the world). History provides no example I can find of a country maintaining Liberty (or even representative government) without a relatively-free market; nor is there any country I can find which has had a mostly-free market (even at the level of China today) for 50 years which has not become a free country, with a representative government and respect for the rule of law.


China has not quite taken the fatal step: fully-private ownership of property with the government enforcing property rights and contracts. At present, for example, China will still close down businesses that don't toe the line carefully, and has nationalized small businesses in areas deemed critical to the State. It is possible that China will step away from this path, and back towards more State control, because remaining at a semi-private property level is not sustainable (either the people will demand and be granted more and more power over their property, or they will be increasingly restricted as they use the property in ways inimical to the State).

Given China's embrace of capital markets in both domestic and international affairs, it is likely that they will eventually tip towards fairly liberal personal property rights. At the point they do that, China as a Communist nation is doomed: they will eventually face the demands of the people for individual liberty as well as property rights.

The forces of the market are such that no tyranny of the industrial age has survived for more than a few decades with a free market. People who have control of property, and want to use it to create wealth for themselves, increasingly demand to more fully control their property, and thus themselves, and thus their time and resources, and thus their flows of communication (requisite to efficient use of property as a generator of wealth), and thus political power to ensure their property rights are maintained. Eventually the government must become utterly ruthless and destroy the property rights systems (as Communism has done everywhere it has come into control) and many of the people, or they must fall to the demands and possibly revolution of the people who stand to gain much by the exercise of liberty.

I believe that China is on that road, that increasingly China will find itself unable to resist giving more property rights in exchange for more growth, and that this will eventually reach a tipping point. Perhaps, 50 years from now, we will look upon China as we do upon South Korea: a prosperous nation globally interconnected and essentially free. The danger zone is the next two decades, with the central government still unchallenged, the property rights and conception of liberty of the Chinese people still rudimentary, and the increasing power and prosperity of the nation fueling nationalistic forces with much influence in the government and military.

If we can shepherd China through the next 2 or 3 decades without a major dislocation, it is very likely that China will end up as a free and modern nation.


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Hopeful Signs for Afghanistan's Future

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Michael Ubaldi notes two very good developments in Afghanistan. I have high hopes for the Afghans: while they have a small population, difficult communications, few resources and virtually no money to work with, these same characteristics have been true of many now-successful and now-free nations (including Israel, Taiwan and South Korea). If Afghanistan continues to embrace political and economic freedom, they too could be a first-world nation in this century.


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And if rocks were worth something Afghanistan would be a superpower. There is one reason they will not come out ahead of the bronze age for the forseeable future. Education. Everybody who knew how to do anything is dead or long gone to Packistan/the real world. Given a portable toilet fully equipped they will squat on top of the seat and still wipe their ass with a rock. I dont believe I can explain their current status any better than that.

Posted by: Beechead on July 24, 2004 09:53 PM

No argument about their present; the question is about the future. A lot of effort is going into education and westernization right now, and it appears from the two noted developments that the right foundational elements are coming into place. You note that I gave them a century? It will take a few decades to get Afghans to the place where they can exploit independence (in an individual sense, which is made possible by property rights) and freedom (also in an individual sense, made possible by representative government).

In the strategic sense, it doesn't matter if Afghanistan fails utterly, in that all we have to do is ensure that it does not revert to a terrorist free-for-all. But in a human sense, I do hope that Afghanistan pulls through, and they have a shot at doing so. Yes, it's a massive cultural change, but there are signs that it's beginning, and so I choose to hope for its continuance.

Posted by: Jeff on July 25, 2004 08:25 AM
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July 21, 2004

Blood in the Water

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After November, it is going to be an interesting spectator sport watching the Democrats self-destruct.

If Kerry wins, especially if the Democrats are able to gain control of the Senate or (less likely) the House, there will be a period of calm and celebration. But this will be followed by the Kerry administration fighting all of the myriad factions in the Democrat Party which will by trying to get theirs while the getting is good. In particular, a weak foreign policy team and an agenda-driven domestic policy team - the Clinton administration without Clinton's leadership or political skills - will pull the administration apart in factional infighting, making it almost impossible for a President Kerry to actually govern. This is not a good thing.

If, in the more likely case, Kerry loses, and the Democrats fail to gain either the House or the Senate, the spasms will be immediate and gory. It is normal for Democrats to eat their own, but in this case there will be what amounts to a factional war in the Democrat Party, with the DLCers (the Clinton wing) and the radical Leftists (the various activists) turning their focus (at least for a while) from bashing President Bush to blaming each other for the party's defeat. This will be followed by an even more strident campaign four years later. This also is not good, primarily because the Republicans will grow fat, dumb and happy with a virtually assured 8 years in the White House and no reasonable opposition domestically (name-calling is not reasonable opposition). During this period of war, we need at least two, and preferably more, serious parties in contention.

In either case, though, it's going to be bloody factional warfare in the Democrat Party for the next couple of years. Turn on C-SPAN and grab a beer; it's going to be a long show.


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July 20, 2004

Kill Them All

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Apparently, 10 Democrats in Congress want to call in UN election monitors in the next Presidential election. (hat tip: Peeve Farm) I have two thoughts:

  1. Clearly, the Democrats want to throw doubt on this election, as they did on the last one, so that if they lose, they can claim that it is because the process is flawed, rather than themselves. However, it is the Congress, of which these - people is too strong a term - are a part, which is charged with ensuring the integrity of the process. If they do not feel that they can do so, they need to be removed from office. Further, they need to be dragged through the streets behind a car to show others that destroying the oldest representative government in the world will simply not be tolerated; and it is the case that deliberately calling into question the concept of our elections is intended to call into question the concept of our elections.
  2. Powder blue helmets are an easy target.

I'm too angry to write more, so I'll leave it at that.


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I see that you and I have similar thoughts on the suitability of powder blue for targeting.

Posted by: Aubrey Turner on July 5, 2004 09:25 PM

Heh. Well, they make it so easy.

Posted by: Jeff on July 6, 2004 07:28 AM
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July 19, 2004

Farenheit 9/11

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I make a promise not to post about Michael Moore's latest dropping, Farenheit 9/11, then I find things that make me crazy about it and I have to post anyway.

The thing that bothers me most about this film, sight unseen, is how it keeps being called a documentary. By that standard, Triumph of the Will was a documentary, too. (Note: I'm not saying that Farenheit 9/11 is a glorfication of fascism, nor that Michael Moore is a Nazi.) Actually, that's a fortuitous comparison, as both films are rank propaganda.

Compare Triumph of the Will to Farenheit 9/11 (Part 1, Part 2, Part 3 coming soon)

As propaganda, Moore's film is brilliant. But a documentary? Um, no.

UPDATE: I'm not the only one comparing Moore to Leni Riefenstahl.


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And Now For Something Completely Different

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In lieu of another semi-serious posting, I thought it might be cool to occasionally check in on some of what's occupying my private time.

Current songs I'm really digging:
The Reason - Hoobastank
Someday - Nickelback
Again - Lenny Kravitz

Current CD in my car:
none. recently took out The Singles 1992-2003 by No Doubt and have yet to replace it

What I'm reading:
Stranger in a Strange Land by Robert Heinlein (finally!)

Video Game wasting my life:
EA Sports NCAA Football 2004 for the PS2

Last movie I saw at the theatre:
I, Robot (decent if you go in pretending that you never read the book)

Last movie I rented:
Cold Mountain (good movie - Renee Zellweger's best performance to date; she absolutely stole the show)

Last DVD(s) I bought:
Farscape, seasons 1 and 2 (spending spree!)
Coupling, season (series, for the Brits) 3

TV show I'm watching most frequently:
Gilmore Girls (it's summer rerun time, not much to watch on TV, but still tend to catch this guilty pleasure)

Current celebrity crush:
Kirsten Dunst (too bad she was a Howard Dean supporter. oh well, she's young, still time to figure things out, and if not, well, Mary Matalin somehow tolerates James Carville)

Ok, that's all I can come up with right now.


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Are you reading Stranger as published, or in the recently released "uncut" version? The differences don't change the meaning, but are interesting in what they reveal.

Posted by: triticale on July 30, 2004 03:52 PM

I wasn't even aware of the existance of an "uncut" version. I bought my copy several years ago.

Posted by: Brian on August 1, 2004 09:16 PM
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July 18, 2004

What if he's got a Pointed Stick?

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France is stating that it would "probabl[y]" use its nuclear arsenal to defend its neighbors against outside attack. (hat tip: Little Green Footballs) It's unclear, though, how France would defeat an uprising of armed Muslims, which is a possibility in much of Europe in the next decade or two; using nuclear weapons against an insurgency is not possible without essentially committing suicide. What will Europe do to defend itself, should the US decline to do so?

OK, it's likely that this message was aimed at Arab states seeking nuclear weapons, but wouldn't it be a lot easier in that case just to not sell them the means for making nuclear weapons?


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easier - yes, more profitable - no

Posted by: Brian on July 6, 2004 05:09 PM

Interstingly enough, in a recent discussion regarding insurgents/terrorists/Arab State, pondering the effectiveness of WMD on those seeking them and cells, it is clearly questionable.

Suggest arming Black Helicopters with chemical agents delivering a payload that renders Arab men impotent. This would result in only dealing with one generation of Jihad school graduates.

Another radical thought is to release our millions of U.S. prisoners to a guaranteed freedom, just not here in the U.S. Picture a green zone in the Iraqi dessert, 250 yards inbound are box after box of small arms and ammunition. Another 100 yards inbound from there are helmets, flak jackets and essentials. Release the prisoners 50 yards inbound from the essentials with one mission: Eliminate all hostiles - any Arab carrying a weapon is a target. Clean up the entire country and ensure the new governments success. Another Australia is far better than another Iran.

Posted by: Bob Wells on July 6, 2004 11:22 PM

Well, I think you have to differentiate between states sponsoring terrorism and the terrorists themselves, if only to the extent of targetting options and effective modes of attack. You can destroy Iran, and would get a great deal of the terrorists they shelter in the process, but you can't do that in France. Wait...sorry - just picturing it. The French wouldn't want to do that in France. Whether they'd want to in Germany is an open question, but I suspect the Germans would object rather fiercely.

I don't think Iraq is really going to be a problem, but I gotta say the idea of turning Iran into another Australia is pretty amusing. Really, though, it's not a realistic option, and I know you're being tongue-in-cheek (just don't freak out the clients, 'kay? :-) I do think that we have to face the possibility of genocide - us or them - at some point if we don't succeed in spreading private property rights, rule of law, representative government and the other things that make prosperity and happiness possible over the long-term.

The thing is, though, that we have a lot more options than the Continental Europeans do: we're not deeply infiltrated culturally by Islam, and so we are not facing a civil war as they are; we are better armed, and have better projection capabilities, so we can take the battle to the enemy homeland rather than waiting for it to come to us; we don't have nearly the financial burden to support and we have a far larger base economy on which to support it. Something we can shrug off would be a huge blow to, say, Belgium; something we would be quite annoyed by might destroy France or Germany. And without the options, it's actually more likely that France would resort to nuclear weapons than would the US - they don't have anything else when it comes right down to it, unless they're invading the Ivory Coast.

I think, in the end, if Europe falls into civil war, it will be an unprecedented slaughter of the Muslims - well, maybe China's "Great Leap Foreward" would be on the same scale. Europe is, after all, also heir to the Western way of war, and they would probably get over their moral objections to war pretty quickly when it was that or be killed off en masse. If there were time, Europe would simply mobilise to deal with the problem, even at the expense of their welfare states (at least temporarily) and slaughter Muslims wholesale. It is to prevent such an outcome that we must succeed in removing the threat by reforming the culture that underlies the threat.

Or we must bequeath horror to our children.

It's our choice.

Posted by: Jeff on July 7, 2004 01:40 AM
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Posted by jeff at 12:00 AM | TrackBack

Go Boom

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Here is something interesting: the view from an F-16 taking out what looks to be about a platoon of insurgents in Falluja.


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I kind of hate to say it, but that was F'n sweet.

Posted by: 7U on July 21, 2004 09:34 PM

That actually made me feel warm inside. Is that bad?

Posted by: Scotty B on July 23, 2004 05:00 PM
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Posted by jeff at 12:00 AM | TrackBack

Stupid Is As Stupid Does

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I love Forrest Gump. It's easily one of my all time favorite movies. It has a magical quality to it that few movies ever produce. It's funny, charming, sweet and sad. It's one of the very few movies that can make me cry every time I watch it. It's beautiful.

So it was interesting to come across this look back at the film on the 10th anniversary of its release. I was amazed not so much to find someone who disliked the movie, but the reasons for why he disliked it, and why he would devote so much time to complaining about it today.

It's a long piece, but the gist is that Forrest Gump is bad mainly because it's not particularly flattering to the 60's counter-culture/culturists. Also problematic is that the film is not anti-American enough. It ignores all the evil America is responsible for, and because it doesn't dwell on America-hating, it's conservative.

"Forrest Gump" conflates "simple-minded" and "single-minded" and says they're the same: the holy source of all that is good and decent in this world. The mass audience that took the film to heart agreed without articulating it as such, but they didn't have to, since conservative commentators did it for them. Michael Medved told The Philadelphia Inquirer, "For me, the great secret of the film's popularity is that it connects with our tremendous national yearning for innocence, and for recapturing lost innocence."

Medved is correct: There is a bone-deep desire in this culture to not have to deal with the complicated stuff, especially when it sheds unflattering light -- or even threatens to -- on American motives or methods at home or in the larger world. He just thinks it's a good thing, whereas history tends to prove we ignore the past at our peril.

And "Forrest Gump" does ignore, streamline, and steamroll the past, most perniciously in its portrayal of the 1960s counterculture and the people within it. This is what pops out even more clearly on a 10th-anniversary viewing of the film: how absurdly the deck is stacked against youth in general and antiwar activists -- excuse me, hypocritical, girlfriend-beating sleazebags -- in particular. It was all a terrible mistake, says the film, everything from Vietnam until the 1980s, and Forrest's lifelong-love Jenny (Robin Wright Penn) is the martyr who takes the era's sins and consequences upon herself, from drug addiction to death from (sshhh) AIDS. Only Forrest, an Adam blessed to remain without self-knowledge, remains pure of heart and untouched.

Additionally, the movie shows Forrest's best friend dying in his arms in Vietnam, his Lieutenant's legs blown off and Forrest himself wounded. That ain't exactly sunshine and lollipops. It purposely avoids how Forrest really felt about having served in Vietnam. The movie was also sentimental about far-left, anti-war activist/counter-culturist John Lennon.

This article reminds me of why I hate critics. They tend to see every movie/book/piece of art as something lofty and high-minded, viciously satirical, rebellious to societal norms, or some combination of all three. They often read more into things than what is actually there, all in an attempt to look like the smartest person in the room. Sometimes a chair is just a chair - nothing symbolic about it. For example, a local movie critic claimed that Harry Potter practicing magic under his covers at night, in the most recent installment of the franchise, was symbolic of puberty - Harry 'playing with his wand'. Maybe that was the intent, I don't know, but I didn't see it like that (and I think it's disgusting that others do). In the book (and movie as I saw it), Harry had to practice in secret because his Uncle was totally opposed to magic - nothing more. Of course this same critic took the occasion of his Shrek 2 review to blast George Bush on gay marriage.

Forrest Gump is more fantasy than commentary. It's a good story, and really, not much more. The politics of it is largely background noise, seen peripherally through the eyes of a simple man, while he focuses on the truly important things in life: friends, family and love.

Why be so anal in trying to make it seem like so much more?


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The first time I saw Forrest Gump, I was very underwhelmed. I couldn't help but think: This is what all the excitement is about?

Well, I saw a good chunk of it again not too long ago - on TBS or something. I was surprised that I found I enjoyed it. Now, I'm still not overwhelmed by it, but I think that when it first came out the reaction was so positive, that it just didn't live up to the hype when I saw it.

I may watch it again sometime - maybe I'll decide it's really, really good.

Posted by: Mark L on July 28, 2004 09:06 PM
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Posted by jeff at 12:00 AM | TrackBack

Tastes Great! Less Filling!

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Ok, we can argue about the merits of introducing kids to condoms in school until we're blue in the face, but I'm not interested in that right now. This however goes over the line.

The New Mexico Health Department is standing behind a sex-education teacher in Santa Fe who encouraged ninth-graders to taste flavored condoms.

According to a report in the Santa Fe New Mexican, parent Lisa Gallegos said that when her 15-year-old daughter balked at putting a condom in her mouth, instructor Tony Escudero told her, "Come on, sweetie, have a little fun."

If true, that could constitute sexual harassment and is completely inappropriate.

Also, Gallegos quotes her daughter as saying when a male student expressed his disgust with homosexual activity, Escudero said, "Never say never, because you never know. Someday you might like it that way."

Again, if true, that could constitute sexual harassment and is completely inappropriate. Additionally, doesn't that contradict the theory that you're born gay? Wouldn't he already knew if he liked it that way or not?

But, seriously, isn't the intent of introducing condoms to kids to get them to practice safe sex? I can see the theory (not saying I necessarily agree with it) about introducing kids to condoms, showing them one, even practicing how to apply it, while explaing its merits and liabilities (often glossed over in sex ed), but really, tasting condoms isn't necessary to the function of using them. Encouraging its practice does not seem useful, particularly with the issue being so sensitive to begin with.


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I think what we have here is a pervert who gets off on saying/showing sexual things to teenagers.

Posted by: Aubrey Turner on July 29, 2004 11:40 AM
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Posted by jeff at 12:00 AM | TrackBack

July 17, 2004

Note to Self...

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Don't get Mindles Dreck annoyed at me. This post demolishes just about every common Leftist trope the Democrats are spouting these days, in a thoroughly convincing manner.


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Posted by jeff at 12:00 AM | TrackBack

Game. Set. Match.

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Best answer ever:

When a reporter noted that Edwards was being described as "charming, engaging, a nimble campaigner, a populist and even sexy" and then asked "How does he stack up against Dick Cheney?" the president immediately responded, "Dick Cheney can be president. Next?"

Comments

Wasn't that beautiful? CNN hyped the story as "George Bush went on the attack." Saying that Cheney's strengths lie in his ability to lead the country, rather than in his charming personality, is an attack. CNN is one of my favorite comedies. It's almost as funny as British news shows.

Posted by: Stephanie on July 8, 2004 10:48 AM

Maybe someday one of the new Iraqi tv stations will be carried on satellite tv and we can watch a better balance in news. I do watch Fox, but would like more.

Posted by: xixi on July 9, 2004 08:55 AM
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Posted by jeff at 12:00 AM | TrackBack

Leftist Hero Discredited

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Largely ignored during news of last week's Senate Intelligence Committee report that criticized CIA pre-war intel was this story about Bush critic Joseph Wilson.

Former ambassador Joseph C. Wilson IV, dispatched by the CIA in February 2002 to investigate reports that Iraq sought to reconstitute its nuclear weapons program with uranium from Africa, was specifically recommended for the mission by his wife, a CIA employee, contrary to what he has said publicly.

Wilson last year launched a public firestorm with his accusations that the administration had manipulated intelligence to build a case for war. He has said that his trip to Niger should have laid to rest any notion that Iraq sought uranium there and has said his findings were ignored by the White House.

Wilson's assertions -- both about what he found in Niger and what the Bush administration did with the information -- were undermined yesterday in a bipartisan Senate intelligence committee report.

Wilson, who was all over television being fawned on by the "mainstream" media for his allegations attacking the Bush administration's case for war in Iraq, lied about his wife's involvement in his being sent to Niger by the CIA, lied to the Washington Post about documents he "saw" while in Niger, and lied in saying that his trip laid to rest any question of Iraq trying to buy uranium from Niger.

Whatever will CNN do now?



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Posted by jeff at 12:00 AM | TrackBack

Spiralling Downwards

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Steven Den Beste wrote about the likely outcome of the Israeli wall: a Palestinian civil war.

Belmont Club has collected a lot of recent evidence that shows that a Palestinian civil war may be beginning.

The "international community" continues to be an active antagonist of the Israeli/Palestinian situation, rather than a force for resolving it.


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Posted by jeff at 12:00 AM | TrackBack

July 16, 2004

I Cannot Pretend/That the Heartache Falls Away

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Here is a heartbreaking post on surviving 9/11. (Hat tip: Little Green Footballs) It's from a woman whose boyfriend was at the World Trade Center on 9/11, and lost his wife in the attack. If you think this is a "pretend" war, or that the war is about oil, or that the attack is in the past and should be forgotten, then you should certainly read this.


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Posted by jeff at 12:00 AM | TrackBack

Three Words

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Target rich environment.


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I would have gone with a shorter answer at two words: "Cluster Bombs".

Posted by: Tim on July 12, 2004 04:50 PM
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Posted by jeff at 12:00 AM | TrackBack